oricon NINKI poll figures for BLUE BIRD
 

6.17 EDIT: 'BLUE BIRD Original Mix' is now at #1 on Chaku-Uta's ringtone downloads, up 2 spots.
http://recochoku.jp/recochoku_ranking/uta.html

6.17 #2 EDIT: 'BLUE BIRD Original Mix' is #2 on Chaku-Uta's overall downloads, up 3 spots. (This is good as overall downloads are supposed to include ringtones/full song/PVs; BLUE BIRD went #2 overall solely on ringtones)
http://recochoku.jp/recochoku_ranking/all.html

6.17 #3 EDIT:
Ringtones
'BLUE BIRD Harderground Remix' at #35
Startin' at #87

Overall
'BLUE BIRD Harderground Remix' at #45
'Startin' at #86


EDIT: anyone want to start guessing 1st week sales? Do so here!

NOTE: THESE ARE NOT SALES PREDICTIONS!

NINKI poll numbers for next week releases:
01 Hamasaki Ayumi - BLUE BIRD - 122.90
02 TOKIO - Get Your Dream - 89.20
03 Morning Musume - AMBITIOUS! Yashinteki de Iijan - 52.40
04 Kuraki Mai - Diamond Wave - 48.20
05 Hitomi Yaida - STARTLiNE - 42.80

Breakdown of Agegroups:
Teenagers: BLUE BIRD is 5th with rating of 0.67
20's: BLUE BIRD is 2nd with rating of 0.60
30's: BLUE BIRD is 3rd with rating of 0.65
40's: BLUE BIRD is 5th with rating of 0.65

Past NINKI numbers throughout this year:
Ayu's "Startin'/Born To Be..." - 105.90 (ended up with ~116k in 1st week sales)
B'z "Yuruginaimono Hitotsu" - 210.40 (ended up with ~161k in 1st week sales)
Ketsumeishi's "Tabibido" - 115.90 (ended up with ~166k in 1st week sales)
ORANGE RANGE's "Champione!" - 203.30 (ended up with ~122k in 1st week sales)
Koda Kumi's "Koi no Tsubomi" - 118.90 (ended up with ~140k in 1st week sales)
Fukuyama Masaharu's "milktea/Utsukushiki Hana" - 165.60 (ended up with ~186k in 1st week sales)

Cool, thanks for the information!
Well, 120k in the first weeks seems likely looking at her recent sales, I'm hoping for quite a lot more though :).

what's this?
what prediction?

go go ayumi!

^Prediction of sales numbers for the singles in the coming week. First week sales.

^I'm getting the wrong impression for your post then. LOL. :)

edit: re-read it, i get what you're saying now!

^Oh my, sorry, I skipped the word not...

*runs away to feel very stupid*

I never took it as predictions, but it's a sort of prediction based of the polls results.

thanks for the info
hope blue bird can sales well

Yes ^^ Well I think it will, because it's much better than Startin'/Born to be... in my opinion ^^

go Ayu~~

thanks for the info! :)

haha. if these are not sales predictions, then what are they? thanks for the figures though!!

She'll be #1, of course! =D

oricon just does a poll on how much the sample population anticipates for the cd releases.

thanks alot. i'm predicting a sales of 130k :D

I predict about 4 sales.

at least people are aniticipating this single more than S/BTB..which is a gd thing...so maybe around 140k...

And Ayu has fan of all ages...GREAT..teens most!..

its funny, u can tell that the 20 yearold and 30 yearolds seem to like the song more, which i think is becuz they are the ones who were really teenagers when ayu came out, so its like they still like her! haha thats cool

though, maybe im wrong..lol

gd point there...Still many teens who support Ayu thou...hehe

150k first week sales :) lol

If she pulls off the regular sales from last year not counting B&D wont she have the best selling female singel of the year so far? Untill 4 hot wave is realeased at least. I hope she'll get at least as good sales with this as fairyland.

^Selling 300k+ copies should give her the place as best selling female single of the year, if I don't remember wrong.

i doubt...with 4 Hot Wave comin...the single is gonna boom a lot of people...

but if this single does go back to 300k then it would ensure that Ayu is still stable

thanks for the info! I'm sure BLUE BIRD single will sale well!!!

GO AYUMI!!!! GAMBATTE NEEEE!!!

Well, we shouldn't compare BLUE BIRD w/ 4 hot wave cuz we know the latter one will be the best selling female single of the year anywayz. I just hope that the first week sales will be at least 150K. Of course it would be better if her first week sales goes back to 170K levels... :P

I don't think the total sales of this single will go beyond 300k o_o' it seems impossible nowadays lol even Koda is not selling all this, not even with her boom \o.o/

....yeah...

/cough

Well I Predict shes gonna BLOW EVERYONE OUT OF THE WATER WITH THIS ONE I MEAN.... I ADORE THESE SONGS ^_^* sorry alittle happy crazed right now blame Beautiful Fighters ^_^ its so HAPPY!!!!! I LOVE IT!!! Definitley a BUY BUY BUY!!!!!!^_^<3

It's not good news that Blue Bird was only ranked #8 on Music Stations top cell phone downloads. Usually a new Ayu single is ranked higher than that.

Thanks for this. The figure is not as high as I expected though. What's fairyland's figure? I remember it was a little higher than this...

So, my prediction of first week sales is, well, maybe around 133,000 copies and ends up like about 270,000. But I really hope it sells well. Oh who knows...Go buy BLUE BIRD Japanese!

I don't think Ayu is up too high before release..

Usually in the MUSIC STATION polls after the release she does pretty well with both songs.. :>

Did she have a lot of competition?

Well, I just checked and 'BLUE BIRD Original Mix' is now #1 on Chaku-Uta ringtone downloads; #2 for overall downloads (which is pretty good since the full song isn't avaliable for download). :P

seems kind of accurate

awesome :)

Ringtones
'BLUE BIRD Harderground Remix' at #35
Startin' at #87

Overall
'BLUE BIRD Harderground Remix' at #45
'Startin' at #86

thanks for the new info

Even the remixes make it onto the list ^_^

ayu is NO.1 of course thanks for infomation.

Not bad, but Ayu has always been #1 on the expectancy rate since Daybreak flopped.. x__x

I predict sales of 131 000 for the first week, and total sales of 243 000.

This is what I hope... 1st week: 120,000-145,000 copies

And I hope she can pass 300,000 copies overall!

thanks for the info~~!!

just a 100 K for me........

i'm glad that people in their 20's and 30's are still listening to Ayu...since it used to be like common knowledge that the majority of people who liked Ayu were really young.

i think this single will sell better than Startin'

I'm amazed that Ambitious! Yashinteki de ii jan is the 3rd highest in anticipation. I honestly thought Morning Musume would have slipped many minds by now.

BLUE BIRD should sell around 126,000+ in its first week, considering the two featured songs and Ladies Night was promoted. Over all, I'd say 279,000+.

This single seems pretty strong in the fact that the two songs fit the upbeat summer life. The two remixes also give incentive to buy the CD.

My prediction: 125k on 1st week sales.
But, I hope BLUE BIRD 1st week sales will be around 160-170k
just like her 2005 single.

Meh...I think this single will do the same as Startin'...not even 200,000...however...ayumi's next single (prays for a ballad) will make 300K!!! and then she doesn't release her album for 6 months...(prays)...breaks are needed to make good songs...that or she releases her album 3 months after so that she's rushed...'cause rushed people bring out the best stories

Well, 2 members are graduating, the song is actually really good, and they just had a really successful Utaban appearance.

oo thanks for the update. =)

I hope the first week's sales will be atleast 130k - 140k

Startin's NINKI poll thing was like..

looooww O_O~

Really low compared to most of Ayu's singles..

Startin' - 105.9
B&D - 170.2
HEAVEN - 159.2
fairyland - 137.3

BLUE BIRD scored pretty high~ :]

I'm hoping for a rock c/w ballad around November or December!

so let's hope BLUE BIRD can perform as well as her 2005 singles :D

B&D - 170.2

it was so high!

^but B&D sold half of that amount :D

Because it so close to the album so people though 'single or album which is better?' :P

And the ironic thing is, B&D didn't even pass the expectancy and it sold the lowest out of all singles.

I don't care how much the single sells as long as she debuts as No. 1 for the first week, nothing else matters to me. It could sell 120k in the first week and drop completely off the chart to 0 the first day into week two and I wouldn't care -- she'd still have her record intact. How many consecutive No. 1's would this make again? 28?

I wonder if that means anything? it's hard to say, really. I mean, it could sell low like B&D did if we're going by NINKI poll, but it's got a b-side and two ass-kicking remixes to back it up, and it's her summer single, and those usually sell pretty well...O_O I just hope she makes No. 1 weekly!

Yeah...Ayu needs another earth-shattering ballad like HEAVEN or Moments again, and another ass-kicking rock song -- something like Because of you or is this LOVE? But they had better be ORIGINAL. That's the problem with Ayu's latest few singles -- they sound really...generic? She needs something that is going to STAND OUT.

Thanks for the info.

wow!! Great news!

15th consecutive (starting from Free & Easy) and 27th overall, if BLUE BIRD is counted in for both cases.

and you should use the edit button nexxt time instead of triple posting. :)

I'm sure she has one or two unreleased one that is really good. She just need to "rediscover" them :P