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Assuming that ayu will get another 10000 copies for the next 3 days (i.e., for the next 3 days her average indexes will be around 2000 or less.. which is quite unlikely somehow), ayu will get 100K in the end.
So, if MW will be getting 100K by the end of the week, that means Shuchishin will need 40000 in order to outsell ayu. That need average 7K index for the next 3 days, which to me is quite unlikely.
So I will say they probly have around 30% of chance to beat ayu in the end (according to current sales). In fact, I dun really think MW's Sat and Sun indexes will drop below 2000.
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