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With any art form/subject, natural talent for that specific form/subject is always helpful if you wish to work at all within that area, absolutely necessary if you wish to become someone who'll have a section in a history book on the arts later on.
Hard work and dedication are never all for naught, practice and recital can and generally will improve one's ability to perform a said art, HOWEVER, there is a limit as to how much hard work and how much practice can improve. Some can make it pretty high, but with no real talent for it in the first place, there will always be just one hurdle that you can't jump to get into the next level of that specific art.
I really don't think of Ayu as much of a singer but more of a performer/entertainer. I don't watch her lives for sake of her voice, it's for the show she puts on. They almost always have something worth watching/interesting in them (if not her amorphous fashion choices). She's certainly a JPop Queen, but I'd never consider her a Diva, she's a JPOP Queen for me and that's that.
An opinion shared by some others, I do believe she was never meant to have THE talent for singing. However, she certainly has put hard work into singing and she can indeed sing now. She can't woo you with her voice but she can certainly put on a show.
And yes that falsetto-vibrato is kinda irksome @_@ Especially when she wiggles her lower jaw to do it.
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