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To be honest, and I only dare to say this in kuu's thread, or some hardcore ayu obessed fan will start attacking me on ayu threads....
There is a possibilty that suki de might beat ayu...
See, suki de has 3 ballads, including walk that a lot if Japanese wants.
As for crossroad, it has the danger that if people order it online together with L, it will be ship on the second week. And sales towards oricon only count after the CDs got ship out,
as there's a chance that people might make changes to their order.
This will affect crossroad first week sales. Not everyone is rich enough to pay for double shipping.
For me, I just placed an order at mumo to get kuu's FC version, along with crossroad both cd only, and L all cd only version and Cd+DVD jacket B. Yup, so my ayu CDs will only be ship out together, but kuu's will be ship out first...
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