Ayumi Hamasaki Sekai

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-   -   'LOVE' NINKI ranking - #3 - 93.10 (http://www.ahsforum.com/forum/showthread.php?t=115568)

truehappiness 2nd November 2012 07:29 AM

'LOVE' NINKI ranking - #3 - 93.10
 
As expected, Ayu is #3 behind JUJU's two best albums.

期待度ポイント アーティスト タイトル 発売日
155.00 JUJU BEST STORY~Life Stories~ 11/07
154.00 JUJU BEST STORY~Love Stories~ 11/07
93.10 浜崎あゆみ LOVE 11/08
88.50 エアロスミス ミュージック・フロム・アナザー・ディメンション! 11/07
61.40 YUKI BETWEEN THE TEN 11/07
35.30 BENI COVERS 2 11/07
32.60 ゴスペラーズ STEP FOR FIVE 11/07
22.00 HAN-KUN VOICE MAGICIAN Ⅲ~ROAD TO ZION~ 11/07
21.80 Ms.OOJA WOMAN -Love Song Covers- 11/07
20.00 清春 UNDER THE SUN 11/07

Wonder how it'll pan out during the week though...

http://www.oricon.co.jp/rank/na/w/2012-11-02/

TeamAyu2004 2nd November 2012 07:53 AM

nothing new there.
she was never going to get a number 1 with this and 2 is highly unlikely as well.
so sad.

Foyuki 2nd November 2012 07:53 AM

though it doesn't make any sense,still a bit low ~.~

Bigtop 2nd November 2012 07:57 AM

:thud

JUJU!?

Wait a minute...what's going on??? NO WAY AYU'S GETTING #1 WITH JUJU - MAYBE AYU COULD END UP #3!!!

There goes more loss of confidence on ayu for me...

KuuXAyu-fan 2nd November 2012 08:00 AM

I really wonder if stores will actually care about the 11.08 release date or if they'll just put it out with the other releases on Tuesday regardless.

tokyoxjapanxfan 2nd November 2012 08:12 AM

As expected. But I'm still interested to see how it pans out.

Aderianu 2nd November 2012 08:13 AM

better than A SUMMER BEST ^^

TeamAyu2004 2nd November 2012 08:14 AM

I would like to see this at least break the 100K for the week, but party queen didnt and ASB was even lower... :*(

Bigtop 2nd November 2012 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KuuXAyu-fan (Post 2925585)
I really wonder if stores will actually care about the 11.08 release date or if they'll just put it out with the other releases on Tuesday regardless.

Well, this 11/8 release date isn't going to help... JUJU starts 11/7, so not only Ayu has a NINKI disadvantage, she has a one-day release date disadvantage as well...

KarenPang 2nd November 2012 08:21 AM

I'm not really surprised ayumi's not going to get #1 next week since JUJU is putting out 2 best albums

LOVE might probably chart lower than BENI's COVERS 2 since COVERS was an unexpected huge success but you never know

Anything goes really this coming week

TeamAyu2004 2nd November 2012 08:23 AM

^ I dont think she would get any real competition from COVERS, since that album was just a LONG seller... it stuck around for weeks, and I think is still charting rather well, right?

oh, and just for comparisons!

02 79.90 Hamasaki Ayumi - A SUMMER BEST
01 171.30 Hamasaki Ayumi - Party Queen ( this one utterly failed me, lol)

01 172.30 FIVE
01 200.90 Love songs
01 229.70 Rock'n'Roll Circus
01 355.70 NEXT LEVEL
00 000.00 GUILTY (no numbers)
01 254.10 Secret
01 280.90 (miss)understood
01 125.50 MY STORY

I find it weird that my story only had 125.50... I really dont understand how these people get their numbers... I mean 400 people polled, but you can have numbers into the 500's... and something like my story where the polled only 125 people, but sold over 1 million copies... huh.

KarenPang 2nd November 2012 08:49 AM

I was referring to COVERS 2 & not COVERS in my previous post

BENI is releasing her 2nd covers album next week so there's a possibility she might chart/rank in higher than LOVE

chikocchi 2nd November 2012 09:37 AM

falling third to two best albums, while devastating to the fanbase, is not unexpected
especially a single marketed as a mini-album falling behind two best albums
completely understandable
however, the 90k predicted sales is what really surprised me
Maybe because the sound is more like old Ayu people in Japan are getting really excited for this mini?
although I do believe that if Ayu would have put more into promotion that sales would probably be higher
i've only seen a few things for promotion :\

truehappiness 2nd November 2012 09:56 AM

NINKI's rating is NOT a sales prediction. It's a point value that comes from four groups of people that subscribe to Oricon Style being polled about the coming week's releases. (4 groups of people in their teens, twenties, thirties, and forties, I believe.)

Quote:

- In the survey for anticipation (Ninki), Oricon does a research of their subscribers (87,000 people approx), out of which they take a random sample of 400 people. The survey is about "interest or degree of interest" and "purchase or degree of intention of purchase", and the results are put exponentially. The people who take part in the survey are from 10 to 40 years old, and there's the same proportion of men and women. (source)
There used to be more data about NINKI but nowadays it's just a very simple chart.

More often than not, the artists who are favored by subscribers do very well in the NINKIs. (they usually have a yearly popularity ranking which Ayu almost never appears on)

LONJJONG 2nd November 2012 10:49 AM

Just hope for luck...

freedreamer 2nd November 2012 11:59 AM

not only is it a mini, its released a day later officialy...so...LOL
oh well..AYU DOESNT CARE :D

Chibi-Chan 2nd November 2012 01:04 PM

That she won't get a #1 was clear from the beginning, and I don't think it's a problem.

setsuka 2nd November 2012 01:57 PM

well JUJU is releasing two albums, her fanbase isn't hardcore enough to buy both lbr therefore it will affect her sales imo

maybe the Xilla tie-in could push Ayu ahead, I would be more confident saying that if she did promo but getting first isn't impossible anyway first or third I don't care

go Ayu!

Minttulatte 2nd November 2012 02:08 PM

Nah, maybe she will surprise everyone and sell platinum in the first week (I'd like to see that happen hehe). :D

Delicious n Bold 2nd November 2012 03:58 PM

At least she's gonna go better than BENI. That's what she gets for making another MALE cover album.


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