[Charts & Rankings] The Official Oricon Thread ~sixxxxxx~

[TriStar]

Originally Posted by ayumisrael

I agree, sungmo's album already sold 18,000+ yesterday so it depends how his album dropped today and how ayu's will drop throughout the week.

18,429 (Sungmo) and 17,315 (Ayu) are very close. But as Sungmo dropped from 1 to 9 today - selling even less than V6 and DCT - weekly number 1 seems to be safe for Ayu! V6 sold 3,068 yesterday, so if you assume they have sold the same number today, Sungmo's sales have to be eventually lower than 3k (because of lower ranking position).

Sungmo: 18,429 + 2k + 2k* + 2k* +2k* + 2k* + 2k* = 32k (optimistic prediction that his sales will be steady from now on)
Ayu: 17,315 + 8k* + 4k* + 2k* + 2k* + 2k* = 35k (pessimistic prediction)

Of course, things will be different if Ayu's 2nd day sales drop by much more than a half compared to first day sales. But thats not realistic, if you look at her other releases.